Friday, July 10, 2015

July 10 Trading Day DANG, KONE, POWR, SGYP, ENZN, TRUE

Gonna keep it short and more on the general side of things.

DANG- Short 500 at 6.84 0941am, This stock gap'd up previous day by 75 cents and dropped 40cents within the first 15mins. Although the chinese markets rallied, this stock was alrdy downtrending beforehand. Since it gapped up as well today, thought'd i'd short it.. Entry was lousy, i should've had it on the bounce, instead i got in at the low prior to the 3rd bounce. Covered at 6.9 for a 6 cent loss whn i saw it holding. Will put an alert and re-short once it breaks the day's low (coincidentally at 6.84

              Short 1000 at 6.82 1140am. Finally an awesome entry, i'mma watch level 2 to see if it breaks 6.70, if not prolly cover. 1229am it breaks below 6.7 which was yesterday's low, Imm'a hold until 6.5 and see if it breaks july 8's close. Covered at 6.55 at 1255 for a 27c gain. 270$, finally. Will be on watch list for nxt wk. Will short if strong downtrend and below 6.5. next resistance is 6.3 which is it's multi-year low.
^Hindsight review July14: I didn't have an exit strategy, previous day's resistance was at 6.94 and i covered under it in the AM, >_< Had i had an exit strategy i would've held for that play in the mid-day. 10cents risk for a 10cent upside+whatever it broke down to.

KONE- Bought 500 at 6.87 with tim's buy alert. It was a higher low, but had a double top so was trying to dip buy. However, it dropped below the day's low which should've been my cue to GET OUT, instead i re-bought 500 at 6.74 to average down, Within 5 mins it had 2 lower low's, I cut my losses on the 2nd bounce, still too slow, but way faster than yesterday. KONE opened at 7 from yesterday's close of 4.5. I don't have any idea what this company is about except for tim's buy alert and of good news on a 100$mil contract. Thinking about it, Althought this is good news, this company is actually overextended and should be a short. I tried to short, but it was on a dip and covered when i got squeezed like an idiot. I need to set targets prior to the trades and i haven't consistently been doing that. Still tried to buy long even though it was against my gutt feeling. No matter what the catalyst, it should be PRICE ACTION that prevails, that and the overwhelming fact that its overextended. It's fighting around the 6.2-6.3 area. If it breaks down below 6.2 which is a 3time year long resistance, i'll short big with the aim of watching level 2. If it hold's at 6 i'll cover for a 10-20cent gain or if it breaks, the next resistance is 5.50. so it's a 10 centish risk for either a 20cent-70cent reward. Anyways, came in late whn it broke down 6.2, did good by waiting to short on a bounce. Short 2000 6.05.. crappy entry, risk/reward is even at best but if it breaks 6. It's one-sided in my favor. Position is unrealistic but overtraded in the morning, need to start focusing on less trades and choosing only those that have high risk/reward ratios. Watched it break 6 on level 2, risk/reward ratio is now in my favor.. Will hold and cover at 5.5 if it shows signs of holding. Wasn't watching when it tested 5.5.. Covered at 5.69.. A whole 19cents !! lousy, lousy exit.. 720$profit.. coulda should woulda covered at 5.5ish for a total of  910$ but not complaining. Covered my losses from overtrading in the morning. Good stuff.
^Hindsight review July14: Downtrending, nothing interesting, might breakdown below it's day high prior to the earnings results but i shouldn't care cuz volume sucks and shorting on earnings is bad, BAD, BAD.

POWR- Admin alert late afternoon of POWR having a new 100$mil contract. In 20mins ran fron 14.25 to 15.57. I know it's bad to chase but i chased it. 100 at 14.87, 200 at 15.11, 300 at 15.39, Sold 600 at 15.36. No regrets chasing it since i was trying it out, only bad thing was i sold on a dip. It's a the same high as back in 2007. Tried to buy in 300 right under the day's highs, stupid me still never learn to only buy AFTER the breakout. it was a double top and lost 10cent's covering into the close. Although uptrending late afternoon, woulda held o/n if it broke the day's high. Will watch on monday to see how price action is and have feedback if whether it was better to hold over the wkend or not. Might buy on a breakout of a spike on the bounce.
^Hindsight review July14: It gapped up on monday and held the gains. On Tuesday, it closed above its open but it's downtrending and broke support on the previous day's highs.

SGYP- Tried to go long as it's uptrending but daily price action sucks, it's better for a multi-day hold vs intra-day trade, which i have no experience on yet. I shoulda held since it's bouncing on a multi-day downtrend. Will monitor. My guess is that it'll uptrend all nxt wk until it tests 10$.
^Hindsight review July14: I'm such a boss.. 3trading days later and it's uptrending from it's low 8.65 and currently at 9.48, potential buy on breakout at year high of 10.ish.

ENZN- Yet another biotech play, Up on news but a good short next wk since biotech stocks haven't been holding their gains well at this market, it's at 3rd resistance yr long high. Has a tendency to have a double top then crash back down. This is a Known-Chart/Play. Will be watching closely nxt wk.
^Hindsight review July14: Sideways priceaction, i don't remember/can't find the "good news", anyways it's downtrending and not worth watching at all. July 9 was actually the day to trade, and july 10 was alrdy sideways action. Not worth watching/shorting since the risk/reward sucks.

TRUE- This is a GIVE ME and i missed it, Obviously losing so much yesterday, It should've been a main stock to watch. HUGE Rule and must learn from this for the future. Value buyer's spiked it in the morning, and i should've bought on the breakout of the spike. + knowing there will be shorts getting squeezed. 9.81-11.37 in under 20mins. tsk tsk.. coulda woulda shoulda 1k gain.
^Hindsight review July14: This is the best example i've seen of a chart getting overextended d/t a contract being dropped.

Did like 20 trades again today haha.. >_<.. The scalping strategies sucked as usual and it was well below 50/50.  But the BIG trades that were ACTUAL Chart/plays paid off big time. I was 3/3 on the big chart plays, reinforcing that aim small/miss small, odds were on my side and risk/reward was on my side. KONE/DANG/POWR 3 trades made up for more than 14+ scalping losses. was down almst 800$ from the scalping losses but the actual chart plays covered the losses and i came out 100$ up on the day for the first time. It's becoming obvious that i need to spend 1-2hrs preparation time prior to the market open to see which stocks are worth watching and having systems setup to spotting which stocks are worth watching.

Goals for next week: It's pretty obvious scalping is do-able but is lower risk/reward and lower odds than Tim's chart plays/strategies. 20trades in a day is a joke since i'll be under the PDT forcing me to only have 3trades in 5days.. Next week i'll be limiting myself to 5trades a day max by tuesday. Aim small, Miss small and sticking to the actual chart plays will give me better odds/minimizing risk.
^Hindsight review July14: 5trades a day max (not including scalps) is on track. Will start focusing on 2 trades max by nxt time i get on the market.

- Kaizen

Thursday, July 9, 2015

July 9 Trading day, SGYP, DANG, AMNC, TRUE

SGYP - Opened at 9.6, Shorted at 8.78 when level 2 shows breakdown, I shorted since this is the 2nd down day and had a nice morning collapse. Currently at 8.74, Shorted with hope that itll break down past 8.7 and collapse to the day's low 8.57, if not cover at 8.7. I WAS NOT WATCHING and it did not break 8.7 where i would've covered and now i'm getting squeezed at 8.9 when i finally started watching. Strong resistance at 9 in the morning so my plan is to risk 10 cents and sell if it looks like it's breaking out in level 2 or if it holds, cover close to where i shorted. covered at 8.83 since it'll be a speculative play if i hold til the afternoon. Gonna watch later in the after noon and re-short if there's a nice afternoon fade.

Thoughts:
In an intra-day time scale, shorting seemed like a good idea, but in a multi-week, YTD time scale. It's better to be long. Biotech's as of late hasn't been holding their gains well though. This stock will prolly go up once the overall market regains itself from the recent crap in greece/china. I really need to watch the market better in the morning in order to spot those nice collapses and avoid trading mid day since there's crap volume.

May 22 Article: http://www.thestreet.com/story/13161361/1/synergy-pharmaceutical-sgyp-stock-gains-after-coverage-initiation.html This set a 11$ target price from 4$.
June 17 Article: http://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/hedge-funds-were-right-about-synergy-pharmaceuticals-inc-sgyp-shares-soaring-by-the-minute-up-65-today-354426/

What's with this stock? I still can't find the exact news for the catalyst for the gapup/spike on June 17. Whatever it is, There's trials on the 3rd quarter that might spike it up even more if the trials go well. This needs to go on my long-term watch list.

DANG - Staircase breakdown known chart but with a premarket news of a going private at 7.81price. Prev. close was 6.5 and today opened at 7.25. If i saw the news, this would've been a GO for shorting, yet again, I need to be setup prior to the market to have a gameplan ready and setup scanners for news/stocks. I shorted at a bounce mid-day and covered for a small cent gain when its consolidating. Gonna watch for afternoon action, might go long if there's strong buyers since it's still a dollar under its target price and possibly hold over night if it closes above its intra-day high. OR short if there's a nice afternoon fade since it's 30cents above yesterday's close and cover prior to closing bell.

Thoughts:
Research'd the stock, so this is a chinese company play >_> that's going private. Completely understanding the play now and this would be a real play if i had an account. Also, my first trade on the paper accnt that went according to hypothesis and made a profit.

**** YahooFinance:
E-Commerce China Dangdang Inc. operates as a business-to-consumer e-commerce company in the People’s Republic of China. It primarily sells books, periodicals, electronic publications, consumer electronics, and audio-visual products through its Website dangdang.com. The company also sells general merchandise products, including fashion and apparel; beauty and personal care products; home and lifestyle products; baby, children, and maternity products; apparel and accessories; and footwear, handbags, and luggage. In addition, it operates the dangdang.com marketplace program, which enables third-party merchants to sell general merchandise products. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People’s Republic of China.


AMCN - Weird stock, i don't know the catalyst's yet but bought in a dip and sold mid-day since it was sluggish for a few cents-gain. Research'd the stock.. This is yet ANOTHER chinese company, Anyways, was at $2 in apr, to a high of $7 in june, dropped 50% june12-june18 due to something i've yet to find out but currently has a class action lawsuit against them. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/securities-alert-rosen-law-firm-214100657.html . blah blah blah, so this company crashes to some misleading/fraudulent crap + chinese market crashing. Nice gap up on the rebound. Possible buy in the short-term til it hit's its last top at 5$, and another buy on the break-out. However the deadline for the class-action law-suit that looms over it is at aug. 24, gotta keep that in check. For the long-term, my guess atm is that the price is still trying to consolidate somehwere between $2/$3 to $7.. 2dollars is support since it's the previous lows, and 3dollars is support since it's previous highs prior to april before this misleading crap started. It can be anywhere in the low 4's or even bounce/breakout the 5$.. but what ever it is, it's the price action that prevails. I'll be watching this one closely till the end of august.

 **** YahooFinance:
AirMedia Group Inc. operates out-of-home advertising platforms primarily in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a network of digital TV screens on planes operated by seven airlines; traditional media in airports, such as light boxes, billboards, and painted advertisements; and gas station media displays, as well as other outdoor media displays out of the air travel advertising sector. It also displays non-advertising content, such as weather, sports, and comedy clips; and television programs, including documentaries and hidden camera type reality shows from other third-party content providers. In addition, the company holds concession rights to operate various traditional advertising media comprising billboards, light boxes, and other media platforms outside the air travel sector. As of March 31, 2015, its programs were placed on digital TV screens on planes operated by 7 airlines; and it operated 454 light boxes and billboards in 7 airports. The company also operates approximately 22 unipole signs and other outdoor media in locations throughout Beijing; and 6,966 tablets on high-speed trains in China. AirMedia Group Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Today's Trades:
SGYP
- Bought 9.05 Sold 9.18
- *Bought 9.16 Sold 8.79 *Bought into the bounce breaking up thinking it was uptrending BUT it's still down in the day CRUCIAL Mistake
- Bought 8.82 Sold 8.99
- *Bought 9 and 9.05 Sold 8.98 *Same stupid mistake even worse since it was alrdy a lower high/lower low on the bounce, i finally learned this needs to be a short
- Short 8.72 Cover 8.71
- Short 8.63/8.74 Covered at 8.87 my memory is failing me, this is the scenario from up top
DANG
- Bought 6.94/6.86 Sold at 6.84 *Bought into the bounce breaking up thinking it was uptrending BUT it's still down in the day CRUCIAL Mistake
- Short 6.80/6.81 Covered 6.79
AMCN
- Bought 4.66/4.73 Sold 4.75

Not including the SGYP trade where i wasn't watching.. 6 good trades/ 5 bad trades. Not bad for OVERTRADING. Thing i need to keep in mind:
1) Stocks downtrending and DOWN from OPEN, WHY did i try to go long on those 4 trades. If it wasn't for this CRUCIAL mistake, i would've only had 1 bad trade today.
2) 930-1030 is the power hour.. opening strategies start to fizzle once it gets close to mid day. I gotta make a chart on my monitor that Keeps me in check on Morning/Midday/early afternoon/lateafternoon or just REMEMBER TO LOOK AT THE CLOCK, #shorttermmemory.

General Thoughts: @1pm Since there's been a crash, and today was a good rally for the chinese markets, I'm wondering if i can organize a strategy around the chinese rally. These are chinese companies that are being traded on the US markets, if i can find out which ones they are, i might b able to make nice gains due to the rally.
@1:45pm Tim's comment: "I don't see ANYTHING worth trading, it's okay, it happens during the summer, just don't force trades." Yep, yesterday was watching up to 16symbols, made lots of mistakes, today just focused on 3 but even then. My strategies for the day have been mostly intra-day/short-term and the gains are on avg 2-5% profit plays to 5% on the downside. Although, im getting good probabilities on scalping.. and alot better than majority of the traders in the chatroom. I can see why tim always complains of scalpers, and if apply his rules to the teeth.. i'll prolly trade EVEN fewer but my probability of being right will skyrocket even more so on how i'm scalpng. That and my risk reward ratio at best atm is maybe 2-1? while the ones i've seen him do have been at the lowest 3-1 up to 5-1 plays. The market is slow atm, the only reason why im forcing trades is that so i'll have experience, but slowly, maybe in 2weeks.. I have to adapt from this style and more towards Tim's Strats. @315pm.. calling it a day.. Both DANG and AMCN are just fizzing out.. SGYP had a nice drop from 8.93-8.63 before fizzing at 8.70. I didnt catch it in time, ideally i should've shorted at 8.79 at the 2nd bounce, My entry ws at 8.73 on the 3rd bounce and exited at 8.7 just cause im tried of jst watching this crap... Started using alerts instead of watching the damn screen.. Since volume's dying out.. i really won't go in unless it goes below it's day's lows for both SGYP/DANG. Neither of these two are afternoon chart plays, in the future, unless it's close to the day's highs/lows.. prolly won't bother watching. @sometime before the close.. DANG Alert came off.. nice fade breaking the afternoon low but wasn't close to the day's low. Shorted at 6.81 Covered at 6.78 for 3cent share profit. SGYP Alert came off, faded close to the day's low, but did not break it.. Will neither be shorting SGYP/DANG overnight.
******* Good stuff though.. Michael goode's Alert in the classroom at 3:32 PM (While i watching SGYP/DANG) about TRUE should've' set me to watch TRUE.. It went g/r at 3:42 from 11.10 > 9.89 for an 11% drop.. Even if i missed the beginning, I would've shorted on the bounce at 10.45 and it closed at 10$ for a 5%. This is a late game panic chart/play with news, year low breakdown, multi-year low. I need to watch the chatroom for the admin/mods alerts and have a system where i can scan news/search a stock's profile in less than 3mins. Few people in the room ever caught on until around 3:45ish.. If i had been watching level 2 on it, i would've seen it coming as it was breaking out.
http://www.autonews.com/article/20150709/RETAIL/150709862
https://twitter.com/jasonstein/status/619226689751674880
^Hindsight review July14: I'm an idiot for not watching the stock the nxt market day. Obviously overtended and was due for a bounce which it did the next market day.. gg.

- Kaizen

July 8 Trading Day, Random Crap

Wasn't gonna make a post but it's better if i do and im keepin' it short. This post is for yesterday's trading day.. Couldn't access SureTrader's platform. Finally got in just before 10am, Lousy start for 1st day, IPDN Did not gap-up, Sold it at the open since DIA, QQQ, NYSE all showing crappy days due to the greece crisis/Chinese crash. Anyways, there was no plays today but i messed around trying to make plays and OVERTRADING. Down 170$ at eod -3% which i think is not bad at all considering i was just speculating and i got out of trades fast when it wasn't going my way. I ended up noticing that since i didn't stick to known charts, what i was doing was basically just scalping. The market as a whole was a crap day anyways and i did very well limiting my losses. Got my first dip in the water and need to realize that the market as of late is doing crap, we're really due for a crash and probably gonna be in transition to a bear market. Shitty baseline for me to start but if i can learn from this bull-bear transition well, This is good in the future since it'll reinforce:

- Have your hypothesis before hand. Is this an actual known play? or am i just scalping?
- Stick to well-known plays and focus on less than 3 per day. Aim small, Miss small. If i miss a stock on the day, better miss it than play a trade wrong.
- Level 2 is good but I shouldn't watch it until the price action isn't where it's needed. I was scaring myself into trades i really didn't need to be today.
- If there isn't any known-plays. I shouldn't trade. Market's crap anyways and I'll be under the PDT rule when i first set out.

I needa write my trades down, the trial platform suretrader has doesn't have timestamps or i just haven't found the option yet. I'm like 90% unsure of what all these buttons do :D. But I only traded using 5k in about 10 trades.. most of the losses was in the start of the day and i learned from them quick cutting the losses in half down to 170. Although i was down, eod and it feels like crap, i gotta remember that if this was a real accnt, these are plays i wouldn't have played at all.

Things i'm curious on:
- After/Pre-market trading
- More level 2 stuff
- Setting up for the trading day
- Trading platform specifics

Tuesday, July 7, 2015

Fell behind, been getting sick..

Stocks being watched:

OGEN- Friday, good solid support at 1.65-1.7 from 2:30pm and on. Up on the day and 2nd day uptrend. Billionaire play; has news of a position in the stock. Today's high was 1.94.
Hypo: Buy at 1.7-1.75. Hoping for a gap up over the long weekend. 20cents upside with a 5cent risk at 1.65 support. If no gap up or news, be ready to sell position.
Result: Monday, No news and actually gapped down. DID NOT DO What i wanted, Sell full position at market open. Entry 1.7, Exit 1.78-1.83. Even though it didn't go my way, still a 3-6% profit. EXACT Same trade that tim would've done, show's im on right track when it comes to executing his strategy.

NUGN- Monday, 25cent drop 7% drop in 30mins since market open. Within that 30mins, has had lower highs and lower lows, Watching Level 2 would show resistance at 3.75 at 10am, 1st sign of a short. Broke down off it's day's low at 10:04, 2nd sign to short, I would short this with the hypothesis of selling at trend reversal on level 2. 10:12 shows resistance at 3.6, 3rd sign to short NOW !!. 10:22-10:25, Held at 3.35, bounce held at 3.4 showing reversal of trend, 1st sign to cover. 11:37-12:30ish. Testing resistance at 3.6, I SHOULD be covered waay before this, PRICE ACTION is not going as planned, 2nd sign to cover. I'm done for now, should babysit this on the side to see if it fades in the afternoon. Faded from 1pm-3:50pm at 3.75 til day lows, good sign to short overnight. Unsure of what size of a position i should take but good % play for a gap down/morning panic. Broke days low at closing, Hopefully, if this was a real trade, i would've at least took a small position.
Result: Short on morning panic, Entry: 3.65-3.75 at 2nd sign. Exit:3.4-3.47 or worst case 3.6 at 2nd sign for a 20-35cent/share gain or 5cent gain at shitty execution.
Hypothesis: Short a small-medium position just before Mondays close in anticipation for a gapdown/morning panic tomorrow morning. Entry 3.45-3.5, Exit at buyer strength.
Result: Monday closed at 3.32, Tuesday opened at 3.2 for a good gap down, This will be the main stock to watch in the am, will cover on the first sign of buyer strength. Dipped down to 3.07 5mins of open, next 10 mins show's buyers rallying up to 3.22, I have plenty of time to cover by this time, i need more practice at level 2 if i miss this obvious sign. I'll have another 1hr to cover below my short if im really blind. At end of day, higher highs, higher lows. Will only watch this stock if it has a good afternoon fade/panic. Entry 3.45-3.5, Exit at 3.07-3.22 for at least 23cents/share. Tim's trade was Entry at 3.57, Exit 3.12, I'm on right track but late on entry. He shorted after 2pm at lower lows and lower highs from noon, I shorted after 330pm. I need to make sure to compare late day to mid day trending.

Rationalizing tim's trades:
IPDN- Tuesday, Up on good news, Tim's trades was 4k entry at 2.75 at 0948 and 4k exit at 2.8 at 1006. 9k Entry at 2.52, "bought on a big dip, looking for an end of day squeeze/morning spike tomorrow wednesday, goal is to make 30-50cents/share, its traded nearly half its float today and has solid base in the 2.30s so limited risk dipbuyinig, only question is can it still spike, given the news and 1day of spiking I think it can, we'll see"

Tim saw it on the %gainer, bought on breakout at 2.75 and closed on signs of a double top (15min duration). I need to make master that entry and recognize that double top/execute that exit, if given another 5mins, i would've closed under my entry for a loss. Babysit on the side til afternoon, Opened at 2.15, shows good support at 2.3, stock been fighting at 2.3-2.5, Tim bought on the breakout at 2.5 and closed strong at 2.7 just under the days highs. Risk is 20cent downside, he's currently up 20cents and hypothesis is that it'll gap up/morning spike. I would close my position immediately if downtrends back to 2.5 tomorrow.

Thoughts on progress:
Today's plays i feel familiar with, so with a 5k paper trading capital, been entering with 66-75% of worth. I need to catch up to the alerts/vids by tomorrow and at least login the chatroom on wednesday's trading day. Current trades are in hindsight and calculations of gains/losses are very conservative, need to catch up to finally watch the stocks in real-time. Find more vids in regards with how big of a position size i should enter with and risk/reward ratios. On the downside, I need to be careful of being overconfident. Conviction > Confidence by Gregg S. "Lx21".

Vids: Lessons from a $10million+ Penny Stock Trader, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gXzJm85mtns

- Kaizen

Sunday, July 5, 2015

Starting this blog for the sole purpose of keeping track of my goals/thoughts/progress.

One week in studying day trading, was almost two weeks behind since i let the lessons stack before actually starting. Only a few days behind now, completed vid lesson #17, finally caught up. A few more days and i'll be caught up with the chatroom. Major stocks to watch for a crash are JIDG and NUGN.

Chart patterns/Plays somewhat familiar:
1) Buying technical breakouts
2) Shorting into the pump and dump

Things to work on:
1) Aim small, miss small.
2) Have a setup prior to your trade. What's your hypothesis? What's your risk/reward?
3) If things don't go according to your hypothesis, GET OUT !! Take small losses.

Hypothesis:
1) What's the PLAY?
2) How's the overall market?
3) How's the sector?
4) How's previous patterns?
5) What's the "Catalyst"?
6) What's your specific target/mental stop loss?
7) Check prior resistances/support on a 1week, 1month, 3month, 6month, 1yr, 3yr+ Timeframes.

During the trade:
1) Is it trending according to my hypothesis?
2) Have the hypothesis charted out as an easy to see visual next to the PC just cause i have a short memory.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Goals for the week: (Ends on 11 July 2015)
1) Minimum 4hrs/night studying and get caught up on the video lesson intros.
2) Get caught up with the chatroom and be able to follow the chatroom daily.

3) Start going through the other pinned vids in PS. Dashboard and video lessons starting from Jan 1, 2015 to get a feel of how the market is.

Goals for the upcoming months:
1) July 20: Start paper trading.
2) Aug 1-Aug 16: Master T.G. Ticker Tradings strategies.
3) End of Aug- Sept. 13 Deadline: Open 2 accounts IB/SureTrader.

Great Quotes:
1) Stick to Known Patterns
2) Aim Small, Miss Small
3) If things don't go according to plans, GET OUT !! Take the small losses
4) Be humble or else the Stock Market will humble you
5) Live and Enjoy life when there's NO great trades
6) Keep moving forward
7) Integrity and Excellence in all I do.

- Kaizen